UGC Is Set to Eclipse Professional Media in Ad Revenue

Plus: How Soccer Conquered the Sneaker Market

Hey there—Ryan here in sunny LA ☀️. Here’s what I’m tracking today across entertainment, tech, and marketing:

The “brand-as-media” era is officially here. American Eagle, Hinge, and The RealReal are trading ads for Substack newsletters—publishing essays, advice, and culture drops to build loyalty beyond the feed. Less product push, more story pull.

Starbucks wants to pay someone up to $136K to travel the world and make TikToks about coffee. No resume needed—just platform fluency and a passport. Amazon MGM is betting $1B on a 2026 theatrical slate, going head-to-head with legacy studios. And DAZN just scored U.S. rights to FIFA’s Club World Cup for another $1B—positioning itself as the new heavyweight in global sports streaming.

And creators keep winning. User-generated content is now out-earning pro media in ad revenue, and Amazon’s new AI tool lets sellers whip up slick video ads in minutes—no agency required. As platforms and brands chase speed and authenticity, polish is out, performance is everything.

Let’s get into it. 👇

7. 🧠 Sam Altman Thinks AI Will Have “Novel Insights” Next Year

What’s happening: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has outlined a bold prediction for AI’s next leap: the ability to generate truly novel insights by 2026. As reported by Maxwell Zeff for TechCrunch, Altman’s essay, “The Gentle Singularity,” suggests that models like OpenAI’s o3 and o4-mini are early indicators of AI evolving from a summarization tool into an engine of original thinking. While he emphasizes the shift will be gradual, Altman positions this milestone as a key step toward artificial general intelligence (AGI).

Why it matters: Altman’s projection reframes AI from a backend tool to a front-end collaborator—an active participant in generating new knowledge, not just organizing existing information. That raises the stakes for industries built on research, insight, and strategy, where the ability to ideate, not just automate, is core to value creation. It also intensifies the competitive frontier: OpenAI’s bet on “novel insight” sets the tone for a broader race, with players like Google’s AlphaEvolve, FutureHouse, and Anthropic vying to define what discovery looks like in the AI age. But not everyone is convinced. Many experts remain skeptical that current models can produce truly original thinking or ask non-obvious questions—capabilities that distinguish creativity from computation. Still, if realized, this shift could democratize innovation itself—opening new paths for scientific breakthroughs, reimagining how R&D functions, and expanding who gets to participate in the future of knowledge-making.

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